Global investments in pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: development assistance and domestic spending on health between 1990 and 2026

Micah, Angela E. and Bhangdia, Kayleigh and Cogswell, Ian E. and Lasher, Dylan and Lidral-Porter, Brendan and Maddison, Emilie R. and Nguyen, Trang Nhu Ngoc and Patel, Nishali and Pedroza, Paola and Solorio, Juan and Stutzman, Hayley and Tsakalos, Golsum and Wang, Yifeng and Warriner, Wesley and Zhao, Yingxi and Zlavog, Bianca S. and Abbafati, Cristiana and Abbas, Jaffar and Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen and Abbasi-Kangevari, Zeinab and Abdelmasseh, Michael and Abdulah, Deldar Morad and Abedi, Aidin and Abegaz, Kedir Hussein and Abhilash, E. S. and Aboagye, Richard Gyan and Abolhassani, Hassan and Abrigo, Michael R. M. and Ali, Hiwa Abubaker and Abu-Gharbieh, Eman and Adem, Mohammed Hussien and Afzal, Muhammad Sohail and Ahmadi, Ali and Ahmed, Haroon and Rashid, Tarik Ahmed and Aji, Budi and Akbarialiabad, Hossein and Akelew, Yibeltal and Al Hamad, Hanadi and Alam, Khurshid and Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour and Alanzi, Turki M. and Al-Hanawi, Mohammed Khaled and Alhassan, Robert Kaba and Aljunid, Syed Mohamed and Almustanyir, Sami and Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M. and Alvis-Guzman, Nelson and Alvis-Zakzuk, Nelson J. and Amare, Azmeraw T. and Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena and Amini-Rarani, Mostafa and Amu, Hubert and Ancuceanu, Robert and Andrei, Tudorel and Anwar, Sumadi Lukman and Appiah, Francis and Aqeel, Muhammad and Arabloo, Jalal and Arab-Zozani, Morteza and Aravkin, Aleksandr Y. and Aremu, Olatunde and Aruleba, Raphael Taiwo and Athari, Seyyed Shamsadin and Avila-Burgos, Leticia and Ayanore, Martin Amogre and Azari, Samad and Baig, Atif Amin and Bantie, Abere Tilahun and Barrow, Amadou and Baskaran, Pritish and Basu, Sanjay and Batiha, Abdul-Monim Mohammad and Baune, Bernhard T. and Berezvai, Zombor and Bhardwaj, Nikha and Bhardwaj, Pankaj and Bhaskar, Sonu and Boachie, Micheal Kofi and Bodolica, Virginia and Botelho Botelho, Joao Silva and Braithwaite, Dejana and Breitborde, Nicholas J. 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N. and Rezaei, Maryam and Rezaei, Nazila and Riaz, Mavra A. and Buendia Rodriguez, Jefferson Antonio and Saad, Aly M. A. and Saddik, Basema and Sadeghian, Saeid and Saeb, Mohammad Reza and Saeed, Umar and Sahu, Maitreyi and Saki, Morteza and Salamati, Payman and Salari, Hedayat and Salehi, Sana and Samy, Abdallah M. and Sanabria, Juan and Sanmarchi, Francesco and Santos, Joao Vasco and Santric-Milicevic, Milena M. and Sao Jose, Bruno Piassi and Sarikhani, Yaser and Sathian, Brijesh and Satpathy, Maheswar and Savic, Miloje and Sayadi, Yaser and Schwendicke, Falk and Senthilkumaran, Subramanian and Sepanlou, Sadaf G. and Servan-Mori, Edson and Setshegetso, Naomi and Seylani, Allen and Shahabi, Saeed and Shaikh, Masood Ali and Shakhmardanov, Murad Ziyaudinovich and Shanawaz, Mohd and Sharew, Mequannent Melaku Sharew and Sharew, Nigussie Tadesse and Sharma, Rajesh and Shayan, Maryam and Sheikh, Aziz and Shenoy, Suchitra M. and Shetty, Adithi and Shetty, Pavanchand H. and Shivakumar, K. M. and Lopes Rodrigues Silva, Luis Manuel and Simegn, Wudneh and Singh, Jasvinder A. and Singh, Kuldeep and Skhvitaridze, Natia and Skryabin, Valentin Yurievich and Skryabina, Anna Aleksandrovna and Socea, Bogdan and Solomon, Yonatan and Song, Suhang and Stefan, Simona Catalina and Suleman, Muhammad and Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael and Tat, Nathan Y. and Tat, Vivian Y. and Tefera, Belay Negash and Tichopad, Ales and Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan and Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto and Car, Lorainne Tudor and Tufa, Derara Girma and Vasankari, Tommi Juhani and Vasic, Milena and Vervoort, Dominique and Vlassov, Vasily and Vo, Bay and Vu, Linh Gia and Waheed, Yasir and Wamai, Richard G. and Wang, Cong and Wassie, Gizachew Tadesse and Wickramasinghe, Nuwan Darshana and Yaya, Sanni and Yigit, Arzu and Yigit, Vahit and Yonemoto, Naohiro and Younis, Mustafa Z. and Yu, Chuanhua and Yunusa, Ismaeel and Zaki, Leila and Zaman, Burhan Abdullah and Zangeneh, Alireza and Dehnavi, Ali Zare and Zastrozhin, Mikhail Sergeevich and Zeng, Wu and Zhang, Zhi-Jiang and Zuhlke, Liesl J. and Zuniga, Yves Miel H. and Hay, Simon I. and Murray, Christopher J. L. and Dieleman, Joseph L. and 2021 Hlth, Global Burden Dis (2023) Global investments in pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: development assistance and domestic spending on health between 1990 and 2026. LANCET GLOBAL HEALTH, 11 (3). E385-E413. ISSN 2214-109X

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Abstract

Background The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted gaps in health surveillance systems, disease prevention, and treatment globally. Among the many factors that might have led to these gaps is the issue of the financing of national health systems, especially in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), as well as a robust global system for pandemic preparedness. We aimed to provide a comparative assessment of global health spending at the onset of the pandemic; characterise the amount of development assistance for pandemic preparedness and response disbursed in the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic; and examine expectations for future health spending and put into context the expected need for investment in pandemic preparedness. Methods In this analysis of global health spending between 1990 and 2021, and prediction from 2021 to 2026, we estimated four sources of health spending: development assistance for health (DAH), government spending, out-of-pocket spending, and prepaid private spending across 204 countries and territories. We used the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)'s Creditor Reporting System (CRS) and the WHO Global Health Expenditure Database (GHED) to estimate spending. We estimated development assistance for general health, COVID-19 response, and pandemic preparedness and response using a keyword search. Health spending estimates were combined with estimates of resources needed for pandemic prevention and preparedness to analyse future health spending patterns, relative to need. Findings In 2019, at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, US$9 center dot 2 trillion (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 9 center dot 1-9 center dot 3) was spent on health worldwide. We found great disparities in the amount of resources devoted to health, with high-income countries spending $7 center dot 3 trillion (95% UI 7 center dot 2-7 center dot 4) in 2019; 293 center dot 7 times the $24 center dot 8 billion (95% UI 24 center dot 3-25 center dot 3) spent by low-income countries in 2019. That same year, $43 center dot 1 billion in development assistance was provided to maintain or improve health. The pandemic led to an unprecedented increase in development assistance targeted towards health; in 2020 and 2021, $1 center dot 8 billion in DAH contributions was provided towards pandemic preparedness in LMICs, and $37 center dot 8 billion was provided for the health-related COVID-19 response. Although the support for pandemic preparedness is 12 center dot 2% of the recommended target by the High-Level Independent Panel (HLIP), the support provided for the health -related COVID-19 response is 252 center dot 2% of the recommended target. Additionally, projected spending estimates suggest that between 2022 and 2026, governments in 17 (95% UI 11-21) of the 137 LMICs will observe an increase in national government health spending equivalent to an addition of 1% of GDP, as recommended by the HLIP. Interpretation There was an unprecedented scale-up in DAH in 2020 and 2021. We have a unique opportunity at this time to sustain funding for crucial global health functions, including pandemic preparedness. However, historical patterns of underfunding of pandemic preparedness suggest that deliberate effort must be made to ensure funding is maintained.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: R Medicine > RP Public Health and Nutrition
Divisions: Faculty of Medicine, Public Health and Nursing > Public Health and Nutrition
Depositing User: Sri JUNANDI
Date Deposited: 01 Nov 2024 06:58
Last Modified: 01 Nov 2024 06:58
URI: https://ir.lib.ugm.ac.id/id/eprint/10216

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