Automatic forecasting for univariate time series with long memory property

Rosadi, Dedi and Peiris, Shelton and Rosmalawati, Meri Andan (2023) Automatic forecasting for univariate time series with long memory property. In: 8th International Conference on Mathematics, Science and Education, ICMSE 2021, 5 October 2021through 6 October 2021, Virtual, Online.

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Abstract

In applications of time series forecasting, it is necessary to model the data automatically and obtain the corresponding forecast values, possibly in real-time, using various methods. A number of automatic algorithms for modeling univariate time series data are available in the literature. This paper is restricted to a study on automatic forecasting algorithms for time series data which contain long memory property using automatic Fractional Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (FARIMA/ARFIMA) model. The algorithms are implemented through open-source software R. We provide empirical application to illustrate and show applicability of the proposed methods and tools using real data

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Uncontrolled Keywords: Automatic forecasting; univariate time series; long memory property
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Divisions: Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences > Mathematics Department
Depositing User: Wiyarsih Wiyarsih
Date Deposited: 15 Aug 2024 06:34
Last Modified: 15 Aug 2024 06:34
URI: https://ir.lib.ugm.ac.id/id/eprint/3430

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