72-Hours Ahead Prediction of Ionospheric TEC using Radial Basis Function Neural Networks

Muslim, Buldan and Kumalasari, Charisma Juni and Widiajanti, Nurrohmat and Asnawi, Asnawi (2021) 72-Hours Ahead Prediction of Ionospheric TEC using Radial Basis Function Neural Networks. In: 2021 International Conference on Electrical, Communication, and Computer Engineering (ICECCE), 12-13 June 2021, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

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Abstract

Prediction of Indonesia's local and regional ionosphere TEC for the next 72 hours is required for space weather services at PUSSAINSA through the Space Weather Information and Forecast Services SWIFTS website, especially during ionosphere predictions on Friday which requires predicting the ionosphere condition from Saturday to Monday according to user needs. To this date, a global modeling the form of the W index, has been used for the prediction. Therefore, we developed a local ionosphere TEC prediction model as a starting point in the development of a regional ionosphere prediction model for Indonesia. The prediction model is built using a Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN). The input of the RBFNN model is the ionospheric TEC data for the previous 72 hours and the minimum value of the geomagnetic disturbance index (Dst) for the last3 days. The output isa prediction of the TEC 72 hours ahead. In the testing phase, the RBFNN model was able to predict local TEC with a daily standard deviation of between 2.75 and 4.9 Total Electron Content Unit (TECU). © 2021 IEEE.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Additional Information: Cited by: 0
Uncontrolled Keywords: Functions; Geomagnetism; Ionosphere; Ionospheric measurement; Radial basis function networks; Weather forecasting; Geomagnetic disturbance; Global modeling; Ionosphere condition; Ionosphere TEC; Prediction model; Radial basis function neural networks; Standard deviation; Total electron content units; Predictive analytics
Subjects: T Technology > TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Divisions: Faculty of Engineering > Geodetic Engineering Department
Depositing User: Sri JUNANDI
Date Deposited: 30 Oct 2024 01:31
Last Modified: 30 Oct 2024 01:31
URI: https://ir.lib.ugm.ac.id/id/eprint/8434

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