Analysis and Projections of Rainfall using representative concentration pathways (RCPs) Scenarios in Sleman Yogyakarta

Annisa, H.N. and Nugroho, B.D.A. (2021) Analysis and Projections of Rainfall using representative concentration pathways (RCPs) Scenarios in Sleman Yogyakarta. In: The 2nd International Conference on Sustainable Agriculture for Rural Development, 20 October 2020, Purwokerto.

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Abstract

Climate change has affected many agricultural areas, and further problem in food security. One of indicator in climate change is the pattern of rainfall, then it is necessary to predict that. This research was conducted in Sleman due to this area has a lot of agricultural activities which greatly influence human life in Yogyakarta. Monthly rainfall data were obtained from Balai Besar Wilayah Sungai Serayu Opak (BBWSSO) from 1988 to 2019. Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) was used to downscale 21st century rainfall for 30 years in Sleman, Yogyakarta. Downscaling was performed on the basis of established relationships between historical data observed rainfall records from 7 stations and National Center for Environmental Prediction re-analysis large scale atmospheric predictors. General Circulation Models (GCMs) under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) climate change with scenarios of RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. Rainfall prediction with RCP scenarios is needed to be used as a guide for adaptation of crops in agriculture because it relates to water availability. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Additional Information: Cited by: 3; All Open Access, Gold Open Access
Uncontrolled Keywords: Agricultural robots; Agriculture; Climate models; Food supply; Forecasting; Rain; Regional planning; Agricultural activities; Agricultural areas; General circulation model; Monthly rainfalls; National center for environmental predictions; Rainfall prediction; Statistical downscaling model (SDSM); Water availability; Climate change
Subjects: S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Agricultural Technology > Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering
Depositing User: Sri JUNANDI
Date Deposited: 30 Sep 2024 05:25
Last Modified: 30 Sep 2024 05:25
URI: https://ir.lib.ugm.ac.id/id/eprint/4280

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