Comparison of data mining algorithms for pressure prediction of crude oil pipeline to identify congeal

Santoso, Agus and Wijaya, F. Danang and Setiawan, Noor Akhmad and Waluyo, Joko (2021) Comparison of data mining algorithms for pressure prediction of crude oil pipeline to identify congeal. In: ICST 2021.

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Abstract

Data mining is applied in many areas. In oil and gas industries, data mining may be implemented to support the decision making in their operation to prevent a massive loss. One of serious problems in the petroleum industry is congeal phenomenon, since it leads to block crude oil flow during transport in a pipeline system. In the crude oil pipeline system, pressure online monitoring in the pipeline is usually implemented to control the congeal phenomenon. However, this system is not able to predict the pipeline pressure on the next several days. This research is purposed to compare the pressure prediction of the crude oil pipeline using data mining algorithms based on the real historical data from the petroleum field. To find the best algorithms, it was compared 4 data mining algorithms, i.e. Random Forest, Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Decision Tree, and Linear Regression. As a result, the Linear Regression shows the best performance among the 4 algorithms with R2 = 0.55 and RMSE = 28.34. This research confirmed that data mining algorithm is a good method to be implemented in petroleum industry to predict the pressure of the crude oil pipeline, even the accuracy of the prediction values should be improved. To have better accuracy, it is necessary to collect more data and find better performance of the data mining algorithm.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Additional Information: Library Dosen
Subjects: T Technology > TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery
T Technology > TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Divisions: Faculty of Engineering > Electronics Engineering Department
Depositing User: Sri JUNANDI
Date Deposited: 30 Sep 2024 08:11
Last Modified: 30 Sep 2024 08:11
URI: https://ir.lib.ugm.ac.id/id/eprint/5042

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